The ADR party would gain 2 MPs under the projections in a political party preference study released on 10 December 2019. Pictured: Gast Gibéryen, ADR parliamentary bloc leader, is seen speaking at the Chamber of Deputies, 25 April 2018. Photo credit: Chambre des Députés
Political parties on the right and left are gaining ground at the expense of Luxembourg’s larger centrist parties, according to an opinion poll released this week.
The current government coalition would lose its majority, but hold exactly half of the Chamber of Deputies, if the survey results held up.
The poll was released by the Luxemburger Wort, the country’s largest newspaper, and RTL, the main broadcaster, on Tuesday evening.
Support for the mildly populist ADR rose from 8.6% at the October 2018 elections to 10.4% in the November 2019 poll. Support for the CSV, Luxembourg’s largest party, was up from 28.9% to 30.1%, while support for the Green party (Déi Gréng) increased from 15.1% to 15.9% and the Left party (Déi Lénk) went from 5% to 5.5%.
Support for the DP declined from 17.5% to 16.6% and support for the LSAP was down from 16.8% to 15%. The Pirate party (Piraten) also lost support: voter intention fell from 6.6% of the October 2018 vote to 5.4% in the November 2019 survey.
The pollsters projected that would result in the ADR gaining 2 parliamentary seats and the Greens would be up 1 (out of 60 in the chamber). The CSV, DP and LSAP would hypothetically each lose 1 MP. Under this scenario, the governing DP-LSAP-Green coalition would drop from 31 to 30 MPs.